Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.114490 0.127700 0.141218 0.156050 0.171825 0.188067 0.206017
2024-10-20 0.096317 0.114502 0.133822 0.155742 0.179796 0.205268 0.234160
2024-10-27 0.082029 0.103396 0.126870 0.154290 0.185170 0.218621 0.257347
2024-11-03 0.072403 0.096269 0.123286 0.155648 0.192896 0.233999 0.282366
2024-11-10 0.065883 0.091943 0.122240 0.159328 0.202804 0.251518 0.309600
2024-11-17 0.058384 0.085683 0.118296 0.159087 0.207763 0.263099 0.329897
2024-11-24 0.054146 0.082994 0.118267 0.163178 0.217546 0.280074 0.356287
2024-12-01 0.049082 0.078784 0.115988 0.164226 0.223469 0.292384 0.377177
2024-12-08 0.043963 0.074050 0.112682 0.163692 0.227232 0.301965 0.394750
2024-12-15 0.040021 0.070558 0.110686 0.164554 0.232509 0.313214 0.414204
2024-12-22 0.035833 0.066366 0.107487 0.163643 0.235403 0.321465 0.430005
2024-12-29 0.033547 0.064699 0.107494 0.166736 0.243201 0.335598 0.452826
2025-01-05 0.030427 0.061633 0.105529 0.167265 0.247876 0.346119 0.471605
2025-01-12 0.027356 0.058376 0.103099 0.167022 0.251459 0.355242 0.488684
2025-01-19 0.024217 0.054721 0.099886 0.165546 0.253323 0.362149 0.503017
2025-01-26 0.022209 0.052713 0.098898 0.166989 0.258901 0.373650 0.522979
2025-02-02 0.021024 0.051974 0.099698 0.170847 0.267629 0.389116 0.547871
2025-02-09 0.018897 0.049407 0.097632 0.170603 0.270864 0.397614 0.564133
2025-02-16 0.018035 0.049012 0.098798 0.174880 0.280107 0.413748 0.589932
2025-02-23 0.016513 0.047260 0.097780 0.175977 0.285049 0.424388 0.608891
2025-03-02 0.014767 0.044901 0.095683 0.175421 0.287688 0.432036 0.624088
2025-03-09 0.013467 0.043270 0.094641 0.176322 0.292259 0.442146 0.642383
2025-03-16 0.011932 0.040980 0.092406 0.175371 0.294223 0.448842 0.656349